Should we be surprised at inflation surprises at this point? The Consumer Price Index (CPI), the most well known measure of inflation, climbed 7.5% over the last year through January, its highest reading since 1982, according to data released this mo

Since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, the Federal Reserve (Fed) has been supporting financial markets by buying $120 billion of U.S. Treasury and mortgage-backed securities (MBS) each month. Currently, the Fed is in the process of reducing (t

The U.S. economy added 467,000 jobs in January, well ahead of the consensus estimate of 125,000, and December’s disappointment was wiped off the books after being revised upward from 199,000 to 510,000. Seasonal adjustments in January are often

The Federal Reserve (Fed) has made a decidedly hawkish pivot, with fed funds futures now expecting five rate hikes in 2022. For our full breakdown of the latest Fed meeting, please read our January 27 blog, Federal Reserve Meeting Recap: March is Off

2022 has been one of the worst starts to a year ever for stocks. As of January 25, 2022, the S&P 500 is down 9.2% (on a closing basis) from the peak earlier this year, suggesting we are inching closer to a potential market correction of 10%, the

Lately we’ve seen two things swirling that some investors think could hurt them down the road. The idea that higher yields and rate hikes are bad is all over the place, but it all might not be so simple. In fact, looking back at history, neithe

For those of us who haven’t already started holiday vacations, we all know this was Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting week. In anticipation of how much investors would be focused on the Fed this winter, we put a chart in Outlook 2022: Passing the B

The Federal Reserve (Fed) ended its two-day Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting yesterday and there were some notable shifts to monetary policy, although these shifts were largely expected by markets. After months of carefully communicating

As we head into the end of 2021, here are five charts that caught our attention.

First up, last week was one of the best weeks of the year for stocks, and that could be a good sign. “It turns out that big weeks like last week usual

The S&P 500 closed at a record high on Friday, but only two of its eleven underlying sectors could say the same. The first was technology, which as we noted last month, has been showing consistent relative strength since May and was boosted by a