8.7.25 A Relief Rally or Reversal in the Dollar?
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has rebounded over the last month following its worst first half since its inception in 1973. Progress on trade negotiations, a patient higher-for-longer Federal Reserve (Fed), better-than-expected economic data (up until last Friday’s employment report), and rotational pressure back into U.S. equities have been key catalysts behind the recovery. Technically, oversold conditions, contrarian levels of bearish sentiment and positioning, and major uptrend support for the DXY have also been supportive of the greenback.
Of course, with currencies, it’s all relative to the other side of the
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