9.9.25 Some Good News and Some Bad News About the Jobs Report
Key Talking Points:
• The bad news is that recent revisions have been largely to the downside. The good news is investors have alternative data sources.
• Unemployment in August rose to 4.3% from 4.2% the previous month. This is what a soft landing looks like, but we are in the early innings of the slowdown.
• Payrolls grew by 22,000 in August, but employment in June and July combined is 21,000 lower than previously reported. (Monthly revisions result from additional reports received from businesses and government agencies since the last published estimates and from the recalculation of seasonal factors.)
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