8.17.26 Shifting Leadership in Global Growth
Talking Points
- Global growth is stabilizing, but leadership has shifted back to developed markets. The U.S. and parts of Europe are driving the latest improvement in business activity, while several large emerging markets have lost momentum after a strong start to the year.
- BRICS economies are mixed as India outpaces the others. China's growth has slowed substantially; Brazil has slipped back into contraction territory, and Russia remains weak, leaving India as the strongest major emerging-market performer despite some moderation.
- Markets have dramatically re-priced Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations. Soft July payroll
