9.30.25 Can October Seasonals Keep the Melt-Up Going?
Despite a weaker end to the month, the equity market “melt-up” successfully navigated what has historically been a tricky month for equities, as represented by the S&P 500 in September (average returns -0.61%), closing out the month (as of September 29) with a handsome gain of over 3%. As we move toward October, this month has been far from spooky, leaning more “treat” than “trick” for equity investors. Since 1950, October has posted positive returns nearly 60% of the time, and an average gain of 0.89%, though past performance does not guarantee future results.
Seasonality Trends Supportive
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